Here’s what Polymarket thinks about the next cryptocurrency cycle

By: bitcoin ethereum news|2025/05/16 18:00:13
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Traders have started placing bets on Polymarket regarding the next crypto market cycle, ranging from Bitcoin’s next all-time high to possible airdrops occurring in the second quarter of 2025. As of May 16, a majority of bettors believe that Bitcoin (BTC) will land somewhere between $110,000 to $130,000 this year. Around 87% of traders have placed bets, amounting to $1.7 million in volume, on BTC hitting $110,000 this year. However, another 72% believe the largest cryptocurrency by market cap could soar as high as $120,000. Meanwhile, another 67% of bettors predict Bitcoin could reach $130,000 by this year. At press time, Bitcoin is trading hands at $103,953, having gone up by 1.6% in the past 24 hours. In recent weeks, it has been in an ongoing rally fueled by the latest trade agreement between the U.S. and China. It recently surpassed $105,000 on May 12 but has not made any other new breakthroughs. So far, BTC reached its previous all-time high on Jan. 20, 2025, when it surged to $108,786. Its current price is still 4.4% lower than its all-time high. Aside from Bitcoin, Polymarket bettors have also predicted the Hyperliquid token, HYPE (HYPE), could jump as high as $28 before June 2025. Around 62% of traders have placed bets worth a total of $1,349 in volume on HYPE reaching $28 before June. Meanwhile, another 38% of bettors believe it could reach $30 before June. At the moment, Hyperliquid’s token stands at $26.73. In the past 24 hours, HYPE reached its peak at $27. The token reached its previous all-time high in December last year, when it rose to $34.96. Since then, the token has failed to recover past the $30 mark, plummeting as low as $10.27 in early April. Lastly, another Polymarket betting pool predicted the AI-inspired FARTCOIN (FARTCOIN) could reach $1.50 before June. Around 75% have placed bets on the meme coin hitting $1.50, while nearly 20% believe the token could reach $2 before June. According to data from crypto.news, FARTCOIN has gone up by 0.17% in the past 24 hours. It is currently trading hands at $1.28, declining slightly from its daily peak at $1.35. The last time the meme coin was able to reach $2 and $1.50 respectively was last January. It has since failed to climb back to its previous peak. Polymarket airdrop predictions for Q2 2025 According to a Polymarket betting pool titled “Airdrops in Q2 2025,” trader placed bets on which projects they believe has the highest chance of holding an airdrop event for its holders by June 30 this year. Polymarket now thinks Linea is the most likely project to hold an airdrop event by Q2 2025. It leads the charge with 40% of traders betting on an airdrop event. The second-most likely project to airdrop native tokens is the Ethereum (ETH) wallet Rainbow at 34%, followed by the meme coin launchpad Pump.fun with 28%. In early April, Linea’s product head, Declan Fox, said the project plans to wait for the bear market to pass before it will launch a Token Generation Event. Source: https://crypto.news/heres-what-polymarket-thinks-about-the-next-cryptocurrency-cycle/

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WEEX P2P update: Country/region restrictions for ad posting

To improve ad security and matching accuracy, WEEX P2P now allows advertisers to restrict who can trade with their ads based on country or region. Advertisers can select preferred counterparty locations for a safer, smoother trading experience.

 

I. Overview

When publishing P2P ads, advertisers can now set the following:

Allow only counterparties from selected countries or regions to trade with your ads.

With this feature, you can:

Target specific user groups more precisely.Reduce cross-region trading risks.Improve order matching quality.

 

II. Applicable scenarios

The following are some common scenarios:

Restrict payment methods: Limit orders to users in your country using supported local banks or wallets.Risk control: Avoid trading with users from high-risk regions.Operational strategy: Tailor ads to specific markets.

 

III. How to get started

On the ad posting page, find "Trading requirements":

Select "Trade with users from selected countries or regions only".Then select the countries or regions to add to the allowlist.Use the search box to quickly find a country or region.Once your settings are complete, submit the ad to apply the restrictions.

 

When an advertiser enables the "Country/Region Restriction" feature, users who do not meet the criteria will be blocked when placing an order and will see the following prompt:

If you encounter this issue when placing an order as a regular user, try the following solutions.

Choose another ad: Select ads that do not restrict your country/region, or ads that allow users from your location.Show local ads only: Prioritize ads available in the same country as your identity verification.

 

IV. Benefits

Compared with ads without country/region restrictions, this feature provides the following improvements.

Aspect

Improvement

Trading security

Reduces abnormal orders and fraud risk

Conversion efficiency

Matches ads with more relevant users

Order completion rate

Reduces failures caused by incompatible payment methods

V. FAQ

Q1: Why are some users not able to place orders on my ad?
A1: Their country or region may not be included in your allowlist.

 

Q2: Can I select multiple countries or regions when setting the restriction?
A2: Yes, multiple selections are supported.

 

Q3: Can I edit my published ads?
A3: Yes. You can edit your ad in the "My Ads" list. Changes will take effect immediately after saving.

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