Chainalysis report: Stablecoins, TradFi and RWA are leading the next wave of Web3

By: blockbeats|2024/12/11 12:15:01
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Original title: Growth Opportunities: Stablecoins, TradFi Engagement, and Tokenization Lead Web3's Next Wave
Original source: Chainalysis
Original translation: 1912212.eth, Foresight News

The cryptocurrency industry has entered a new stage of maturity, driven by increasing adoption, continued innovation, and deeper integration with the traditional financial system around the world.

This year, BTC hit new all-time highs in March and December, reflecting huge demand. At the same time, DeFi's position in the global economy is constantly consolidating, and global capital inflows are also approaching new highs. In addition, traditional finance (TradFi) is revitalized, and funds are pouring into areas such as stablecoins and crypto exchange-traded products (ETP) markets, indicating that cryptocurrencies are quietly fulfilling their promise to reshape the global financial infrastructure.

This is not just another market cycle, but a critical moment for cryptocurrencies.

Atypical Bull Market

At the end of 2023, BTC began to rise, marking the beginning of a new round of rising market.

Chainalysis report: Stablecoins, TradFi and RWA are leading the next wave of Web3

On March 5, 2024, BTC broke through its previous all-time high, rising to more than $73,000; in December of the same year, it broke through the $100,000 mark again.

In addition, the transfer activity of all digital assets has exceeded the historical highs of the end of 2020 and 2021, indicating that the activity of this round of market cycle is far more active than the previous bull market.

From late 2023 to early 2024, DeFi began to show signs of recovery, with activity levels reaching previous all-time highs, as shown below.

Current asset prices and DeFi activity are not the only indicators of market adaptability and resilience - global adoption of stablecoins, explosive interest in traditional finance (TradFi), and the rise of services for new use cases such as tokenization (described below) all indicate that cryptocurrencies are becoming more widely accepted and integrated into the global economy.

Global Utility Driving the Rise of Stablecoins

Stablecoins are typically pegged 1:1 to the U.S. dollar or other fiat currencies, combining the efficiency, security, and transparency of cryptocurrencies without the volatility risks common in other crypto markets.

While major cryptocurrencies such as BTC and ETH often dominate the headlines and offer returns that stablecoins cannot match, stablecoins have surpassed other types of cryptocurrencies in terms of adoption. In recent months, stablecoins have accounted for more than half of all on-chain transaction volume, reaching as much as 75%.

By making the stability of the U.S. dollar accessible to anyone in the world with an internet connection, stablecoins provide a critical solution for residents of countries facing currency volatility, both to protect savings and to facilitate commercial transactions.

The growing prominence of stablecoins in overall trading activity shows that this asset class has achieved a high level of utility among crypto users.

Bitcoin and Ethereum ETPs Mark a Historic Convergence of Cryptocurrency and Traditional Finance

Traditional finance (TradFi) validation of cryptocurrencies in 2024 reached a historic milestone, with the launch of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded products (ETPs) in the U.S. market further bolstering institutional investor interest. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) – the most popular form of ETPs – have attracted significant interest from both retail and institutional investors.

With the launch of cryptocurrency ETFs, the entire market has experienced a rally based on this, as these funds offer regulated mainstream investment vehicles that can gain exposure to cryptocurrencies, which often attract investors who may be hesitant about the complexity and security issues of using traditional crypto trading platforms directly.

Daily trading volumes for Bitcoin ETFs have surged, approaching $10 billion in daily trading volume in March. Bitcoin ETF inflows have also surpassed those of the first net gold ETF launched in 2005 (adjusted for inflation), as shown in the chart below, making it the fastest growing ETF in history.

The price of Bitcoin began to rise rapidly following the news of the approval of the Bitcoin ETF on January 10, 2024, and trading began shortly thereafter.

By providing easier access to cryptocurrencies through traditional trading platforms, ETPs can unlock new sources of demand for the underlying asset, which appears to be one of the important factors driving the recent price increase of Bitcoin (BTC).

While it is difficult to pinpoint the exact impact of the launch of Bitcoin ETPs in the U.S., it is widely believed to have boosted market optimism and expanded institutional investor exposure to Bitcoin. The surge in demand reflects the unique appeal of ETPs among retail and institutional investors, offering a regulated and familiar way to gain exposure to Bitcoin without the complexity of managing private key wallets.

Tokenization: Real World Assets (RWAs) Are Growing

The excitement surrounding the mass tokenization of real world assets (RWAs) is quietly changing the asset management and investment landscape, with many traditional finance (TradFi) giants, such as Franklin Templeton, already taking a stake in this market. Goldman Sachs reportedly plans to launch a crypto trading platform focused on tokenization in the next 12 to 18 months.

RWAs refer to any asset with value — whether tangible or intangible — that derives its value from something other than a blockchain. Through tokenization, the rights to these assets, from real estate to art to intellectual property, are represented as tokens on the blockchain. This process not only simplifies the process of selling and trading these assets, but also increases their accessibility to a wider audience, creating a more efficient and liquid market. RWAs also promise to enhance transparency in the investment market, as all transactions are recorded on-chain.

Currently, most RWA projects focus on tokenizing relatively simple and stable financial instruments, such as U.S. Treasuries, and lending platforms such as Goldfinch and Ondo Finance, which rely on tokenized RWAs as their core, have captured the majority of the RWA market. According to data compiled by asset management company 21.co, the total market value of tokenized projects has exceeded $100 billion.

Although still in its early stages, the growing prominence of RWAs is a key step towards a future where most value transfers will take place on the blockchain, promoting a unified, open, and less frictional global market.

What the Cryptocurrency Industry Maturation Might Mean for Organizations

When we look at the progress of the crypto ecosystem, it is clear that we are experiencing a huge shift in perception and usage. While the cryptocurrency market may experience volatility and long bear cycles, one trend is consistent: wallets holding positive balances have grown linearly and continue to rise. Currently, over 400 million wallets hold cryptocurrency.

While one wallet does not mean only one user, as institutions and individuals can manage multiple wallets, the sheer volume of growth suggests that cryptocurrency adoption is steadily increasing.

As the influence of cryptocurrency continues to grow, it becomes even more important to measure success in this new paradigm. For organizations, adapting to the on-chain reality is more than just keeping up with technological advancements — it requires a complete reassessment of operating models to take advantage of the unique opportunities blockchain presents.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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