Bitcoin Whales are Increasing, But Their Activity Remains Unstable

By: beincrypto|2025/05/15 02:45:04
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Bitcoin (BTC) is up more than 7% over the past seven days, holding firm above the $100,000 level and showing signs of continued bullish momentum. However, recent whale activity paints a more cautious picture, with only a slight increase in large holders and mixed signals over the past month. While the Ichimoku Cloud and EMA indicators remain supportive, they also reflect a market lacking strong conviction. With key resistance and support levels in focus, BTC’s next move could determine whether it pushes toward new highs or risks falling back below six figures.BTC Whales Inch Up, but Confidence Still MixedThe number of Bitcoin whales—wallets holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC—has slightly increased, rising to 2,012 as of today, up from 2,009 on May 9. While this uptick may appear marginal, whale activity is closely monitored by analysts and investors because these large holders often influence market direction through significant transactions. Whale accumulation typically reflects growing confidence in Bitcoin’s medium- to long-term outlook, while reductions in holdings can signal caution or profit-taking.Bitcoin Whales. Source: Santiment.That said, the current pace of growth in whale numbers remains modest, and their activity has been far from stable over the last 30 days. The last month has shown mixed signals, with whales alternating between accumulation and distribution amid macro uncertainty and volatile price action, as all 12 Bitcoin ETFs see red as the market shrugs off $96 million exit in the last 24 hours, their biggest single-day outflow since April 16.This inconsistency suggests that, despite the slight rise in recent days, major players are still navigating the market cautiously rather than committing to a sustained buying trend, despite some analysts stating that Bitcoin could reach a new all-time high soon.Bitcoin Holds Above Cloud, But Momentum SlowsThe Ichimoku Cloud chart for Bitcoin currently shows a relatively neutral-to-bullish setup. Price candles sit just above the Kijun-sen (red line) and Tenkan-sen (blue line), indicating that short-term support is holding for now. The cloud (Kumo) ahead is bullish, with the Senkou Span A (green cloud boundary) positioned above the Senkou Span B (red cloud boundary), reflecting a positive forward-looking trend. BTC Ichimoku Cloud. Source: TradingView.The Chikou Span (lagging green line) remains above the price from 26 periods ago, signaling cautious bullish sentiment. Price is still above the cloud, which is a bullish zone, but sideways action and a narrowing gap between the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen show indecision. For the uptrend to gain strength, the blue line must cross above the red line clearly, with a thicker and steeper cloud forming ahead.Key Levels to Watch: Bitcoin’s Next Move After Holding $100,000Bitcoin price has been steadily holding above the key psychological level of $100,000 for the past six days, with its EMA lines indicating a clear uptrend—short-term averages are positioned above long-term ones, signaling sustained bullish momentum. If BTC can break above the immediate resistance at $105,705, it could trigger another leg up toward $107,038. BTC Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.A strong continuation could push the price further to $109,312, with a potential breakout toward $110,000, which would mark a historic milestone.However, if the current trend loses steam, Bitcoin may face a pullback toward its first key support at $101,296. A break below that level could bring the price back under $100,000, opening the door to deeper corrections at $97,766 and potentially $93,422.The post Bitcoin Whales are Increasing, But Their Activity Remains Unstable appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Before using Musk's "Western WeChat" X Chat, you need to understand these three questions

The X Chat will be available for download on the App Store this Friday. The media has already covered the feature list, including self-destructing messages, screenshot prevention, 481-person group chats, Grok integration, and registration without a phone number, positioning it as the "Western WeChat." However, there are three questions that have hardly been addressed in any reports.


There is a sentence on X's official help page that is still hanging there: "If malicious insiders or X itself cause encrypted conversations to be exposed through legal processes, both the sender and receiver will be completely unaware."


Question One: Is this encryption the same as Signal's encryption?


No. The difference lies in where the keys are stored.


In Signal's end-to-end encryption, the keys never leave your device. X, the court, or any external party does not hold your keys. Signal's servers have nothing to decrypt your messages; even if they were subpoenaed, they could only provide registration timestamps and last connection times, as evidenced by past subpoena records.


X Chat uses the Juicebox protocol. This solution divides the key into three parts, each stored on three servers operated by X. When recovering the key with a PIN code, the system retrieves these three shards from X's servers and recombines them. No matter how complex the PIN code is, X is the actual custodian of the key, not the user.


This is the technical background of the "help page sentence": because the key is on X's servers, X has the ability to respond to legal processes without the user's knowledge. Signal does not have this capability, not because of policy, but because it simply does not have the key.


The following illustration compares the security mechanisms of Signal, WhatsApp, Telegram, and X Chat along six dimensions. X Chat is the only one of the four where the platform holds the key and the only one without Forward Secrecy.


The significance of Forward Secrecy is that even if a key is compromised at a certain point in time, historical messages cannot be decrypted because each message has a unique key. Signal's Double Ratchet protocol automatically updates the key after each message, a mechanism lacking in X Chat.


After analyzing the X Chat architecture in June 2025, Johns Hopkins University cryptology professor Matthew Green commented, "If we judge XChat as an end-to-end encryption scheme, this seems like a pretty game-over type of vulnerability." He later added, "I would not trust this any more than I trust current unencrypted DMs."


From a September 2025 TechCrunch report to being live in April 2026, this architecture saw no changes.


In a February 9, 2026 tweet, Musk pledged to undergo rigorous security tests of X Chat before its launch on X Chat and to open source all the code.



As of the April 17 launch date, no independent third-party audit has been completed, there is no official code repository on GitHub, the App Store's privacy label reveals X Chat collects five or more categories of data including location, contact info, and search history, directly contradicting the marketing claim of "No Ads, No Trackers."


Issue 2: Does Grok know what you're messaging in private?


Not continuous monitoring, but a clear access point.


For every message on X Chat, users can long-press and select "Ask Grok." When this button is clicked, the message is delivered to Grok in plaintext, transitioning from encrypted to unencrypted at this stage.


This design is not a vulnerability but a feature. However, X Chat's privacy policy does not state whether this plaintext data will be used for Grok's model training or if Grok will store this conversation content. By actively clicking "Ask Grok," users are voluntarily removing the encryption protection of that message.


There is also a structural issue: How quickly will this button shift from an "optional feature" to a "default habit"? The higher the quality of Grok's replies, the more frequently users will rely on it, leading to an increase in the proportion of messages flowing out of encryption protection. The actual encryption strength of X Chat, in the long run, depends not only on the design of the Juicebox protocol but also on the frequency of user clicks on "Ask Grok."


Issue 3: Why is there no Android version?


X Chat's initial release only supports iOS, with the Android version simply stating "coming soon" without a timeline.


In the global smartphone market, Android holds about 73%, while iOS holds about 27% (IDC/Statista, 2025). Of WhatsApp's 3.14 billion monthly active users, 73% are on Android (according to Demand Sage). In India, WhatsApp covers 854 million users, with over 95% Android penetration. In Brazil, there are 148 million users, with 81% on Android, and in Indonesia, there are 112 million users, with 87% on Android.



WhatsApp's dominance in the global communication market is built on Android. Signal, with a monthly active user base of around 85 million, also relies mainly on privacy-conscious users in Android-dominant countries.


X Chat circumvented this battlefield, with two possible interpretations. One is technical debt; X Chat is built with Rust, and achieving cross-platform support is not easy, so prioritizing iOS may be an engineering constraint. The other is a strategic choice; with iOS holding a market share of nearly 55% in the U.S., X's core user base being in the U.S., prioritizing iOS means focusing on their core user base rather than engaging in direct competition with Android-dominated emerging markets and WhatsApp.


These two interpretations are not mutually exclusive, leading to the same result: X Chat's debut saw it willingly forfeit 73% of the global smartphone user base.


Elon Musk's "Super App"


This matter has been described by some: X Chat, along with X Money and Grok, forms a trifecta creating a closed-loop data system parallel to the existing infrastructure, similar in concept to the WeChat ecosystem. This assessment is not new, but with X Chat's launch, it's worth revisiting the schematic.



X Chat generates communication metadata, including information on who is talking to whom, for how long, and how frequently. This data flows into X's identity system. Part of the message content goes through the Ask Grok feature and enters Grok's processing chain. Financial transactions are handled by X Money: external public testing was completed in March, opening to the public in April, enabling fiat peer-to-peer transfers via Visa Direct. A senior Fireblocks executive confirmed plans for cryptocurrency payments to go live by the end of the year, holding money transmitter licenses in over 40 U.S. states currently.


Every WeChat feature operates within China's regulatory framework. Musk's system operates within Western regulatory frameworks, but he also serves as the head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). This is not a WeChat replica; it is a reenactment of the same logic under different political conditions.


The difference is that WeChat has never explicitly claimed to be "end-to-end encrypted" on its main interface, whereas X Chat does. "End-to-end encryption" in user perception means that no one, not even the platform, can see your messages. X Chat's architectural design does not meet this user expectation, but it uses this term.


X Chat consolidates the three data lines of "who this person is, who they are talking to, and where their money comes from and goes to" in one company's hands.


The help page sentence has never been just technical instructions.


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